DATA SCIENCE · AI STRATEGY · COMPLEX SYSTEMS

Data science and artificial intelligence for decisions in complex systems.

Advanced analytics, causal inference, learning analytics, graphs and simulation for institutions that need to understand before they decide.

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EVIDENCE BEFORE CLAIMS60+

research works and technical publications.

The decisive mechanism is not always visible in the symptom.
30+years of analytical and teaching work
02proprietary diagnostic frameworks
05layers: data, structure, causes, scenarios, decision
?Less intuition. More evidence for intervention.

HOW I WORK

Decisions improve when the system behind them becomes visible.

Work starts with the real process, its constraints and the evidence needed to compare alternatives.

Less intuition. More evidence for intervention.

  1. 01

    Reconstruct

    Actors, rules, dependencies, data and timing are made explicit.

  2. 02

    Explain

    We distinguish signals from mechanisms and risks from their causes.

  3. 03

    Compare

    Scenarios make consequences visible before implementation.

APPLICATION CASES

Real decisions. Complex systems.

Two routes with distinct questions, methods and application contexts.

01 / EDUCATIONCAPIRE + ALPHAPATH

Learning pathways and curricular friction.

Reconstruct constraints, rules and routes before redesigning a curriculum or academic policy.

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02 / BUSINESS & ORGANIZATIONSSTRUCTURA

Investment, operations and decisions under uncertainty.

Agricultural development, construction and logistics cases compared through scenarios.

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PROPRIETARY FRAMEWORKS

Consulting turned into method.

01

CAPIRE + AlphaPath

Understand pathways before trying to predict them.

An integrated architecture for data, curriculum graphs, causal inference and adaptive pathways.

Explore CAPIRE + AlphaPath ↗

02

STRUCTURA

From flat indicators to the structure that produces risk.

A framework for dependencies, cascades and intervention points in organizations.

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SCIENTIFIC EVIDENCE

The work can be reviewed before it is commissioned.

Open research supports the methods, criteria and results behind the consulting work.

View published evidence ↗
OPEN RESEARCHEvidence

Methods, publications and technical work available for review.

START A CONVERSATION

A complex decision can start with a better question.

Education, operations, AI governance and institutional design.